| The Gold Forecast

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July 12, 2018 - 11:49am

Gold has not been acting like a proper safe haven due to the fact that a full-blown trade war has not yet been triggered, but this may change once tariffs are implemented, said Gary Wagner, editor of theGoldForecast.com.

“We are in a trade dispute, we haven’t morphed into a full-blown trade war. Once tariffs are actually imposed, that will be a different story, and we might see some fireworks at that point,” Wagner told Kitco News.

Wagner noted that should gold fall below $1,240 an ounce, a level $30 lower should be expected.

January 30, 2018 - 6:11pm

Kitco News is the world’s #1 source of metals market information. Our videos feature interviews with prominent industry figures to bring you market-affecting insights, with the goal of helping people make informed investment decisions. 

August 25, 2017 - 4:24pm

Gold prices spiked Friday as all eyes were on Fed chair Janet Yellen and European Central Bank president Mario Draghi’s speeches at this year’s Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming. The metal traded in the green, last at $1,295.90 an ounce. However, one gold expert is still waiting for the metal to close above key resistance before he becomes ultra-bullish. ‘I’d feel more comfortably bullish when we have effective closes above 1300,’ Gary Wagner, editor of thegoldforecast.com, told Kitco News during Draghi’s remarks. ‘We’ve certainly tested the waters, now we simply need to see the market have the momentum to close above that. Once that happens, I absolutely believe we’re headed substantially higher.’ Commenting on the central bankers’ meeting, Wagner said he didn’t make much of Yellen’s...

August 16, 2017 - 4:31pm

Gold prices managed to move into positive territory Wednesday afternoon following the U.S. Federal Reserve's July meeting, which had a dovish tone. December gold rose $3.20 to settle at $1,282.90 an ounce. The rally comes after the metal came close to hitting the key psychological level of $1,300 last. ‘The minutes were extremely dovish...

it now seems highly unlikely we will see a rate hike this year,’ Gary Wagner, editor of The Gold Forecast, said in an interview with Kitco News. ‘The Fed minutes are more of a long-standing market mover, it is not just a flash-in-pan and we should see gold stabilize,’...

July 21, 2017 - 4:56pm

After a relatively muted summer, gold is now ending the week 2% higher. Gold was last quoted up $10.10 at $1255.40 an ounce, its highest level since June 26.

"We definitely hit a bottom last week...I still think we have higher to go," said Gary Wagner of thegoldforecast.com. '

“With the fundamental events in the marketplace now, we could see a break above $1,300 now,” he added. "A break above $1273 would signal the proper momentum to get back to this level."

However, equities in the short-term have definitely outshined the yellow metal. Since last year's Brexit vote, a portfolio with only 5% exposure in gold is up 32%, beating a 50% exposure which is up 17%, according to data analyzed by U.K.-based media outlet The Telegraph.

July 13, 2017 - 4:29pm

After rising for three straight sessions, gold came down $1.40 an ounce at $1,217.70 on Thursday. ‘Right now, we hit an intraday low this week at around $1,204 so to me there is some hope that $1,200 will hold as a support level," said Gary Wagner, editor of thegoldforecast.com. In the past three days, gold has had a higher intraday low than the previous trading session on each occasion, Wagner added. "Prices have also traded to a higher high than previous sessions, along with consecutively higher closes. However, during each of these trading days, the positive net change can be characterized as only a small upside move."

June 7, 2017 - 4:05pm

The gold market saw additional selling pressure in late-afternoon trading Wednesday, following the early release of former FBI director James Comey’s testimony scheduled for Thursday. However, to technical analyst Gary Wagner, this knee-jerk reaction is a necessary correction in gold’s overall rally. ‘We might go into period of consolidation but overall I am bullish,’ he told Kitco News. ‘Gold challenged the $1,300 mark and I still think we can take that out this year.’

May 25, 2017 - 3:19pm

Gold prices continue to hold on to small gains after initial weekly U.S. jobless claims saw muted change, rising by 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 234,000 in the week to Saturday, the government said. Gold was already showing some modest gains ahead of the report and was relatively unchanged in initial reaction. June Comex gold futures last traded at $1,257 an ounce, up 0.31% on the day. “Immediately following the release of the minutes, we saw U.S. equities moving modestly to higher ground. At the same time, we saw the U.S. dollar trading modestly lower and gold trading slightly higher,” Gary Wagner of thegoldforecast.com said. “These actions come about as a result of the Federal Reserve’s resolve to implement another interest rate hike in June. Based on the CME’s FedWatch tool, which...

April 7, 2017 - 3:18pm

Gold prices saw some volatility Friday, first moving higher as it caught a safe-haven bid following President Trump's missile strike on Syria and the release of weaker jobs data in the U.S. However, the yellow metal fell under pressure later in the trading session after hitting a five-month high overnight. Can gold's regain momentum and move higher next week?

March 27, 2017 - 3:58pm

Gold prices ended the U.S. day session moderately up and hit a four-week high following last week's uptick. New money is flowing into gold, said Gary Wagner, publisher of the goldforecast.com, on Monday. After the failure to push through a healthcare reform package on Friday, Wagner noted that it has raised questions over President Trump's ability to deliver promised tax cuts and spending plans. That knocked stocks and the dollar to a four-month low and gold is reaping the benefits, he told Kitco News. April Comex gold settled the day at $1,255.70, up 0.58% on the day. May Comex silver settled the day at $18.108 an ounce, up 2%. Wagner explained that the metal needs an effective close over $1,265 and then the next real resistance level will be $1,300.