| The Gold Forecast

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August 13, 2015 - 11:20am

As gold corrects from gains seen earlier in the week, technical analysts and star of Kitco News’ Chart This Gary Wager says he is enthused about the gold market. “I’m excited about what we’ll see over the next month or so,” he told Kitco News Thursday. As of 10:06 a.m. EDT, December gold was down $7 to $1,116.60 an ounce after it previously closed higher for five business days in a row. When asked if gold can see continued strength, Wagner said the outcome will be heavily fixed on the next move by the Chinese government. Earlier in the week, the People’s Bank of China devalued the yuan to help the country’s flagging economy. “If we see an extended intervention by the central bank in China, we could sees an extended and prolonged rally in gold and U.S. debt instruments,” he explained....

July 24, 2015 - 1:39pm

Not only did gold selloff early in the week, but gold futures saw the longest run of losses since 1996. Could the metal be due for a technical bounce? Kitco News speaks with Gary Wagner to find out what levels he is looking at for the metal next week as gold options expire and the markets await for the results of the latest FOMC meeting next week. "At this point, we could see a little bounce, but I am expecting more downside pressure [for gold],” he says. The key level that he is looking at for the yellow metal right now stands at around $1,038 an ounce. Wagner adds that any breach of the $1,085 level could lead gold towards lows last seen in February 2010. Tune in now to the latest edition of “Chart This!” Kitco News, July 24, 2015.

July 17, 2015 - 11:42am

Kitco News - As gold continues its weak trend and tests lows last seen in 2014, one market veteran says the yellow metal may be poised for further losses. 'The real issue has been a return in strength in the dollar,' Gary Wagner, editor of thegoldforecast.com, told Kitco News. He compared gold to a salmon swimming upstream, struggling to maintain gains as the dollar index pressures the metal. Gold prices reached a low of $1,140.60 on Thursday, which Wagner says is a critical level to watch. 'That’s the lowest low that we’ve had in 2015,' he said. If the $1,131 level does not hold, Wagner said 'we could see some real downside pressure in gold, possibly taking it as low as $1,080-1,090.' Looking at silver, Wagner said his key level for the white metal stands at $14.50 an ounce. The...

July 2, 2015 - 4:22pm

Published on Jul 2, 2015 · Chart This is back and Gary Wagner joins Kitco News at the new studio to talk about gold and silver. Can the metals break their range? Wagner comments on gold’s reaction to Thursday’s weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data and says the metal is acting ‘tepid at best’ right now. With the uncertainty in Europe and the weaker U.S. data, gold should be performing better as a safe-haven asset, but instead hit a 3.5 month low on Thursday morning. Wagner says the weaker data may now delay the U.S. Federal Reserve’s first move on rates. Tune in now for more from thegoldforecast.com’s Gary Wagner. Kitco News, July 2, 2015.

June 4, 2015 - 11:28am

Gold prices remain under pressure, but it's a different story than last week as a weaker U.S. dollar is not lifting the yellow metal. Looking at gold and the USD retracement this week, Gary Wagner notes that it's interesting that the lower U.S. currency isn't taking gold out of its downward spiral. Focusing on Friday's nonfarm payrolls data, Wagner says with the stock market hitting highs, investors are holding back to see if there's any kind of pullback, which he says would give way to some safe-haven buying in the precious metals. As for the jobs numbers themselves, Wagner thinks there will be more positivity for the U.S. economy. Tune in now to see what Gary's eyeing on the charts on this week’s edition of Chart This! Kitco News, June 4, 2015.

May 22, 2015 - 10:27am

Gary Wagner leads Kitco News into the long weekend with his latest thoughts on the gold market as well as the resurgence seen in the U.S. dollar. Talking on gold’s price action, Gary notes that the metal is now within the $1,182-1,221 trading range. “The fact that we’ve moved back in the range is foreboding because it seems easier to move down from here…especially with the dollar rebounding again,” he says. Tune in now to see what key levels are catching Gary’s attention and how he sees the metal set up for the short week ahead. Kitco News, May 22, 2015. 

May 14, 2015 - 2:37pm

As gold prices build on Wednesday’s sharp rise, Gary Wagner checks in on this edition of Chart This! to see if there’s any substance for a sustained gold price rally. Without question, Wagner believes that gold must close above $1,200 Friday for there to be any hope of a sustained rally. He adds that while gold price fluctuations are linked to U.S. economic data performance, he adds that there is also a currency-based aspect involved. “[W]e pair gold against currencies and we’ve seen that the tremendous rise in the dollar put so much pressure on gold – now we’re seeing the dollar falling,” he says. “I think the big story here right now is the euro/dollar because [it's] been so excessively strong. We need to see if it can keep that.” Tune in now to see what the charts are telling Gary...

April 24, 2015 - 12:39pm

It’s Friday and that means Gary Wagner is on Kitco News to talk about what key levels he is looking at for the gold market. Alluding to the last "Chart This!" episode, Gary says he was looking for gold to breach $1,221 in order for him to become bullish on the market. “I said even in a bearish market we should see a bounce, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the market to go to $1,221,” he says. However, Gary now says gold’s key resistance level now stands at the $1,200 mark. Gary also takes an in-depth look at the U.S. dollar as well as record hitting equities markets to see how they are affecting the gold market. Tune in now to see what support and resistance levels are catching Gary’s eye. Kitco News, April 24, 2015.

April 10, 2015 - 12:00pm

After an almost 3-week hiatus, Gary Wagner is back on Kitco News to tell us how he sees the market set up for the coming week. He says given gold’s recent volatility, he wouldn’t be surprised to see the market drift lower. “I really have to see $1,221 as a number taken out before I can really get bullish again on this market,” he says. Gary also comments on recent dollar volatility and how he sees that spilling into gold and other commodity markets. Tune in now for Gary’s latest in-depth look into the gold market and to get his forecasts for the week. Kitco News, April 10, 2015.

March 20, 2015 - 2:33pm

Gary Wagner joins Kitco News after this action-packed week to share his latest thoughts on the gold market. Wednesday’s FOMC policy meeting caused a stir in the gold market, which is now looking like it may close off the week on a positive note. Wagner says that although it is an extremely oversold market, he wouldn’t be amazed to see gold head higher. “I wouldn’t be surprised to see the market bounce, even as high as $1,220 an ounce.” He says that despite the dollar’s drop on Wednesday, which he says was the greatest drop since 2009, he still sees the currency heading higher. “I’ve never seen that kind of a move,” he says. “The dollar will probably continue on its upward track.” Kitco News, March 20, 2015.