Today we saw Bitcoin futures (BTC) post their 3rd consecutive gain for the day, currently up $150 or 1.39% as of 4:30 PM EST. Usually, this would be signaling a further bullish trajectory, and although this could be the case here’s why I don’t believe it is as of yet.
First and foremost is the intra-day high achieved today at $11,080. This price point is exactly where the 50-day moving average lies. A bounce to the downside was observed after reaching this technical indicator and for that reason, we remain neutral. However, a break above $11,200 would turn us bullish on the asset.
One of the more bullish signs we have witnessed today and for the past three trading sessions is the growing volume occurring concurrently with higher pricing. Gleaming any meaning out of this can be tricky and we don’t have to look back too far to see one of the only other instances of growing volume for three days of price advances. The last time and possibly the only other time we had three days of rising volume amidst three days of the rising price is back on May 8th of this year. What followed the next day for BTC however was a steep decline over the weekend leading to BTC futures gapping down over $1,200 on the open for Monday, May 12th.
So, our forecast from Friday remains and it “Is likely that it will remain in its current band of approximately $9,900 - $11,100 for the foreseeable future. Looking back on a longer-term chart reveals this is indeed BTC’s favorite point of congestion and what is only starting to resemble consolidation.”