Bitcoin | Page 2 | The Gold Forecast

Bitcoin futures trade up but off of the 50-day M.A.

Monday, September 28, 2020 - 17:48 by Joseph M. Wagner II

Today we saw Bitcoin futures (BTC) post their 3rd consecutive gain for the day, currently up $150 or 1.39% as of 4:30 PM EST. Usually, this would be signaling a further bullish trajectory, and although this could be the case here’s why I don’t believe it is as of yet.

First and foremost is the intra-day high achieved today at $11,080. This price point is exactly where the 50-day moving average lies. A bounce to the downside was observed after reaching this technical indicator and for that reason, we remain neutral. However, a break above $11,200 would turn us bullish on the asset.

One of the more bullish signs we have witnessed today and for the past three trading sessions is the growing volume occurring concurrently with higher pricing. Gleaming any meaning out of this can be tricky and we don’t have to look back too far to see one of the only other instances of growing volume for three days of price advances. The last time and possibly the only other time we had three days of rising volume amidst three days of the rising price is back on May 8th of this year. What followed the next day for BTC however was a steep decline over the weekend leading to BTC futures gapping down over $1,200 on the open for Monday, May 12th.

So, our forecast from Friday remains and it “Is likely that it will remain in its current band of approximately $9,900 - $11,100 for the foreseeable future. Looking back on a longer-term chart reveals this is indeed BTC’s favorite point of congestion and what is only starting to resemble consolidation.”

HD Charts Gallery

Previous Reports:

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 - 19:34
Even though volume over the last five trading sessions was relatively low the significance of its speedy return to a bullish market impressed me especially when you look at how shallow the correction was. Yesterday’s small gain was enough to take prices back above the 23% Fibonacci retracement level ($10,697) of the nearly $8,000 climb since March. Pricing only dipped below this level for six... Read more
Tuesday, September 15, 2020 - 06:12
Bitcoin futures are trading up 3.7% ($380) on the day and as of 4 PM, EDT is trading at $10,720 basis the most active futures contract on the CME. It seems as though Bitcoin futures found support at the 100-day moving average which happens to be right around $10,000. This support level is a relatively new occurrence in BTC and a very bullish one at that. Rarely if ever has the 100-day or the $... Read more
Thursday, September 10, 2020 - 20:28
Ever since BTC futures hit a high of $12,635 on August 17th the digital asset has been in a corrective phase, bringing down prices to just under $10,000.  However, yesterday marked the third day in which pricing found support at the 100-day moving average. The 100-day moving average is one of the few major moving averages that has not served as support or resistance in the past but the high... Read more