Bitcoin | Page 5 | The Gold Forecast

Bitcoin futures trade up but off of the 50-day M.A.

Monday, September 28, 2020 - 17:48 by Joseph M. Wagner II

Today we saw Bitcoin futures (BTC) post their 3rd consecutive gain for the day, currently up $150 or 1.39% as of 4:30 PM EST. Usually, this would be signaling a further bullish trajectory, and although this could be the case here’s why I don’t believe it is as of yet.

First and foremost is the intra-day high achieved today at $11,080. This price point is exactly where the 50-day moving average lies. A bounce to the downside was observed after reaching this technical indicator and for that reason, we remain neutral. However, a break above $11,200 would turn us bullish on the asset.

One of the more bullish signs we have witnessed today and for the past three trading sessions is the growing volume occurring concurrently with higher pricing. Gleaming any meaning out of this can be tricky and we don’t have to look back too far to see one of the only other instances of growing volume for three days of price advances. The last time and possibly the only other time we had three days of rising volume amidst three days of the rising price is back on May 8th of this year. What followed the next day for BTC however was a steep decline over the weekend leading to BTC futures gapping down over $1,200 on the open for Monday, May 12th.

So, our forecast from Friday remains and it “Is likely that it will remain in its current band of approximately $9,900 - $11,100 for the foreseeable future. Looking back on a longer-term chart reveals this is indeed BTC’s favorite point of congestion and what is only starting to resemble consolidation.”

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Previous Reports:

Monday, August 24, 2020 - 17:28
Today Bitcoin futures once again found resistance at the level it had broken above on Monday of last week. This level is the 23% retracement from 2019’s highs and comes in at $11,900. Currently BTC futures are up fractionally on the day and pegged at $11,760. It seems as though our assumption that Bitcoin would benefit from the current flight from cash just as gold and silver have done may... Read more
Monday, August 17, 2020 - 18:51
Today Bitcoin futures took another step toward reaching the highs of 2019 highs today with BTC futures posting a $550 (4.6%) gain currently trading at $12,485. BTC’s intra-day high today of $12,635 was a price point that we have rarely seen even during the 2019 run up. On June 26th 2019 BTC hit its highest price point since it bottomed after the launch of futures.  Bitcoin futures would... Read more
Wednesday, August 12, 2020 - 20:06
Last night or Tuesday morning overseas gold futures began trading lower and by the time that New York markets were opened for trading it was not long before gold futures broke back down below $2,000 per ounce. Gold was not alone in losing over 5% in fact, all of the precious metals lost at least 5% in value yesterday. Interesting because Bitcoin was also trading down $500 or 4% was down 5% at its... Read more