Bitcoin | Page 8 | The Gold Forecast

Bitcoin futures trade up but off of the 50-day M.A.

Monday, September 28, 2020 - 17:48 by Joseph M. Wagner II

Today we saw Bitcoin futures (BTC) post their 3rd consecutive gain for the day, currently up $150 or 1.39% as of 4:30 PM EST. Usually, this would be signaling a further bullish trajectory, and although this could be the case here’s why I don’t believe it is as of yet.

First and foremost is the intra-day high achieved today at $11,080. This price point is exactly where the 50-day moving average lies. A bounce to the downside was observed after reaching this technical indicator and for that reason, we remain neutral. However, a break above $11,200 would turn us bullish on the asset.

One of the more bullish signs we have witnessed today and for the past three trading sessions is the growing volume occurring concurrently with higher pricing. Gleaming any meaning out of this can be tricky and we don’t have to look back too far to see one of the only other instances of growing volume for three days of price advances. The last time and possibly the only other time we had three days of rising volume amidst three days of the rising price is back on May 8th of this year. What followed the next day for BTC however was a steep decline over the weekend leading to BTC futures gapping down over $1,200 on the open for Monday, May 12th.

So, our forecast from Friday remains and it “Is likely that it will remain in its current band of approximately $9,900 - $11,100 for the foreseeable future. Looking back on a longer-term chart reveals this is indeed BTC’s favorite point of congestion and what is only starting to resemble consolidation.”

HD Charts Gallery

Previous Reports:

Thursday, July 16, 2020 - 17:34
Not since March 2019 have we seen the upper and lower Bollinger bands come as close as they are now only $600 apart. The narrowing range of the Bollinger bands is a sign that the volatility has fallen and remained at an extremely low level. The previous occurrence of such a narrow gap between bands directly preceded a $10,000 price advance. This narrowing of band width followed by a subsequent... Read more
Tuesday, July 14, 2020 - 17:20
Bitcoin futures are falling down a slightly negative slope and the fact that they have fallen and remained under their 50-day moving average confirms that further sideways action is to be expected with a slight downward slope. I believe we could easily see this continue for the rest of this month until eventually bouncing off of the 200-day moving average and then making another play for $10,... Read more
Wednesday, July 8, 2020 - 19:59
Bitcoin’s relatively low volatility may have a lot of traditional bulls turned off but all along we and many other analysts have said that a day would come when Bitcoin has shed its volatility. Just like a fraternity brother graduating from college would enter into the real world as a productive member of the economy, leaving its keg stands and one night stands in exchange for a career and family... Read more