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Can Too Many Chefs Make A Better Meal?                     

The old adage about having too many chefs is appropriate in light of a recent statement made by a United States Fed official. The president of the Federal Bank of Dallas, Richard Fisher, remarked earlier today that the "central bank is closer to curbing its asset purchases". This statement not only moved the  the United States equities markets, but moved the precious metals markets as well.

 

Although it is not out of the realm of possibilities to get conflicting or contradicting statements by members of the Federal Reserve, it seems it only takes one hawkish statement to send the markets in a tailspin. The Dallas bank Pres. is on record as being one of the more dedicated critics of our current quantitative easing program. Nonetheless his statements truly saturated the market today with the thought of the onset of tapering our current monetary policy.

 

There can be no doubt that the US economy is beginning to pick up steam. And this statement followed the most current report on the US service industries in July. According to the Institute for supply management their non-manufacturing index jumped to 56% in July from 52.2% the prior month.

 

However even with real signs that the US economy is slowly recovering, one must realize that it is our employment status and real inflation rate that are the primary benchmarks that the Fed is looking at to determine at what point tapering our current monetary policy makes sense.

 

The real question remains is whether or not the real uptrend in gold which began last month at 1181 is still intact. There can be no doubt that Friday's lower pricing put a damper to that belief. However it is my current belief that the recent correction is in line with a corrective wave that we will discuss in detail on today's video.

 

Wishing you as always good trading,

 
 

   

Gary S. Wagner

Executive Producer


Market Forecast:

On a technical basis there is no doubt that the bears once again have regained short-term control of precious metals prices. The uptrend which began at 1181 is seen is first real signs of strong resistance. We see major resistance at 1334 and again at 1345. 

 

We are currently looking at support at 1294 and 1300. We are awaiting our next trade signal to develop, as this most recent price correction move gold precisely 38% from the recent rally. Today's video will look at the details of our support and resistance levels in both gold and silver.

 

 

Proper Action:

 

 No active trades. Awaiting trade signal

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COT LINK  See previous weeks in Historical Commitments of Traders Reports. 

  

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Gary S. Wagner - Executive Producer