Recent Report:
Weekly Report: 3 days 1 hour ago
It was another brutal day for gold prices. Gold futures basis the most active June contract opened at $1285.80 this morning, and after trading to a low of $1274.60 it closed $8.50 lower and is currently fixed at $1277.60. The dollar provided moderate headwinds, as it gained 0.19% in trading today. However, when you consider the decline in gold today resulted in a 0.67% drop in value, selling pressure accounted for most of today’s drop. Similar results were seen in the cash market today with gold losing a total of nine dollars, which can be broken down with a - 0.2% (- $2.60) decline due to dollar... Read more
Track record of gold trades
Trading one contract (100 oz.) of gold with $10k balance.
| Year | $ +/- | % Gain/Loss |
|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $30,150 | |
| 2011 | $25,570 | |
| 2012 | $22,350 | |
| 2013 | $14,500 | |
| 2014 | $9,660 | |
| 2015 | $-2,630 | |
| 2016 | $28,600 | |
| 2017 | $5,900 | |
| 2018 | $3,502 |
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Money Management
Money management is an essential component of a successful trading strategy. We use stops to define risk, and maximize profits.
• Stops limit loss exposure to a redefined amount & lock in profits by trailing them tighter when a trade moves favorably
• Defines risk and reward, thereby removing any emotional influences.
Endorsements of Confidence
Gary is one of the most skilled technicians I have met during my time covering the markets. Dedicated, reputable and skilled…
Daniela Cambone
Editor-in-Chief, Kitco News
About Gary Wagner
Gary S. Wagner is the executive producer of The Gold Forecast. He has been a technical market analyst for over 35 years. He’s written for Kitco News, Stocks & Commodities Magazine, Futures Magazine, and Barons. Gary has been a speaker for many financial seminars like Dow Jones Financial Symposium or Futures West. He coauthored “Trading Applications of Japanese Candlestick Charting” and was mentored by many great technical analysts like John Bollinger and Larry Williams.
Trading System
The system that we use for trade recommendations is a hybrid method in which we combine fundamental data with three primary technical studies. We look at fundamental data for the "big" picture, which we weave into our technical studies. These studies help us identify key pivot points. They also provide us with the timing for entrance and exits of trades, as well as stop placements.
The three technical methods we combine are Japanese Candlesticks, Elliot wave theory and Fibonacci retracement.
Introduction to our service
The Gold Forecast was created for investors and traders of all levels. Each day we publish a five to ten minute video containing concise, easily-digestible visual and verbal information, conveying precision technical market insights. All blended with the day’s most important fundamental news.
About our company
Wagner Financial Group is the producer of the Gold Forecast.
Based in Honolulu, Hawaii, our company is comprised of a dedicated group of trading, technology, and finance professionals who apply their experience, teamwork and innovation towards a common goal - helping traders succeed.
Previous Reports
Gold gave back the gains achieved earlier this week with Comex futures losing $10.80 (0.84%) on the day with the most active June contract closing at $1286.90. Dollar strength certainly contributed to today’s decline with the dollar index up .28% and fixed at 97.65. The remaining drawdown of .56% is directly attributable to selling pressure. According to the KGX (Kitco Gold Index) spot gold lost $9.90 today and is currently fixed at $1286.20. Selling pressure accounted for -$6.30, and dollar strength added the final -$3.30. The selling pressure was a reflection of an increased risk appetite as U... Read more
You might not think that a fractional gain would indicate bullish market sentiment, however in the case of today’s $0.60 gain per ounce of gold it is the fact that gold has held steady relative to the respectable gain that occurred on Monday of this week. Gold pricing had broken below the 50-day moving average on April 11, and the 100-day moving average on April 16. Prices would continue to drop with a double bottom which occurred on May 2 before this current rally would begin. The rally which began on May 2 was a bearish candle which closed at $1272. This was followed on May 3 in which engulfing... Read more
As the trade war between the U.S. and China escalates, all eyes are on how the economy will respond, and one expert said that gold will come out as a beneficiary. Gary Wagner, editor of TheGoldForecast.com, said that as the U.S. prepares to enact 25% tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, gold could rally in the long-term due to the tariff’ inflationary impacts. “You have to look at what the tariffs will do in terms of consumer prices down the road. These tariffs are put onto the companies that are using those imports. However, they’re going to pass the additional costs back to the... Read more
Last week’s trade negotiations between the delegation from China and the U.S. delegation seemed to have lost ground and moved farther away from a resolution, the opposite of the desired outcome. It is interesting that concessions agreed to by China were taken off the table. The explanation or motive behind that move could be the belief that China is content to walk away from the trade talks. This move by China prompted a strong response by the United States as Trump raised the current tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports from 10% to 25%. The fact that this action occurred in the middle of... Read more