Rising U.S. Jobless Claims Weigh on Dollar, Boost Gold

The U.S. Labor Department reported a surge in weekly unemployment claims for the week ending May 4, with applications rising by 22,000 to 231,000. This marks the highest level of claims since August 2023, exceeding the four-week average of 215,000 and economists' forecast of 214,000.

Coupled with April's lackluster new job openings of just 175,000 new positions and a recent report revealing only 8.5 million job openings in March, these figures paint a picture of a cooling U.S. economy.

Many economists now anticipate a weakening labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than currently expected to stimulate economic growth. 

The jobless claims report had a significant impact on gold, and the U.S. dollar. As of 6:00 PM ET, gold futures for the most active June 2024 contract surged $18, or 0.78%, to $2,340.40. Gold traded between $2,312.90 and $2,354.20, after opening at $2,316.50. The precious metal's gain outpaced the dollar's 0.30% decline, with the dollar index slipping to 105.256. Over the last seven trading days, the dollar has lost value on five occasions.

Market participants now eagerly await the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report next week on May 15, seeking further evidence of a softening economic scenario that could create bullish tailwinds for gold.

Wishing you as always good trading,