U.S. dollar moves higher forcing gold lower | The Gold Forecast

U.S. dollar moves higher forcing gold lower

September 22, 2020 - 6:35pm

 by Gary Wagner

Global concerns about the increase of new cases of the novel coronavirus in Europe as well as the United States have had a dramatic impact on both U.S. equities and gold yesterday. Both equities as well as gold were sharply lower in trading yesterday. While equities in the United States recovered today, gold pricing on the other hand, continued to decline.

The recent uptick in Covid-19 infections has raised concerns about businesses shutting down in Europe as well as in the United States. This moved market sentiment to favor the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset of choice. Since the beginning of September when the dollar index hit a low of 91.65, the dollar has gained roughly 2.34%.

As reported in MarketWatch, “Rising cases in Europe and in the U.S. have unsettled investors about the global economic recovery, driving investors into dollars, which has weighed on bullion…European countries, including France, Spain and the U.K., are grappling with rising coronavirus numbers, and U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson introducing new restrictions to stem the spread of coronavirus, including 10 p.m. curfews for pubs and restaurants in England, in a reversal from the summer relaxing of coronavirus restrictions.”

Cash is king, but both gold and the dollar continue to be safe haven assets of choice

Today It was all about dollar strength pressuring gold to lower pricing. However, gold maintained and held above a key and critical psychological support level at $1900 per ounce. Yesterday, gold opened at $1956, when dollar strength along with strong selling pressure from market participants took pricing well below that key support level of $1900 trading to an intraday low of $1885 before recovering.

Today gold futures basis the most active December 2020 contract settled at $1905.80 which is a net decline of $4.80 (– 0.25%). It traded to a high of $1925.50, and a low of 1898.90 before closing. It was dollar strength that was primarily responsible for today’s decline. Currently the dollar index is at 93.985 after gaining 30 points (+0.32%) on the day.

Dollar strength is also apparent in spot gold pricing. According to the KGX (Kitco Gold Index) physical gold closed at $1902, after sustaining a drawdown of $10.40. Dollar strength accounted for $8.60 of the decline, with selling pressure taking away an additional $1.80.

Wishing you as always good trading and good health,

Gary S. Wagner - Executive Producer

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Gold Forecast: Proper Action

Open Trades as of September 21, 2020

Maintain long NUGT @ $101.95 - stop at $84.98

Long December Silver (SI Z20) @ $27.07 - Stop hit @ 25.56 for a loss of $1.51 per ounce
Long GLD @ $183.91- stop hit @ $178.50 for a loss of $5.41 per share
Maintain long SLV @ $ 26.33 - stop hit @ $23.53  for a loss of $2.80 per share
Long December gold (GC Z20) @ $1947.00 - Stop hit @ $1952 for a profit of $500.00 per contract
Long Forex gold (XAU A0-FX) @  $1939.00 - Stop hit @ $1944.80 for a profit of $5.80 per ounce
Long December gold @ $1956.50.Stop hit @ $1960 for a profit of $350.00 per contract
Long December silver @ $27.39.Stop hit @ $27.80 for a profit of $2050 per contract
Long forex gold @ $1948.55.Stop hit @ $1955 for a profit of $6.45 per ounce
Long GLD @ $183.57.Stop hit @ $184.36 for a profit of .79 per share
Long SLV @ $25.10.Stop hit @ $25.75 for a profit of .65 per share
Long September silver at $26.68. Our stop was hit @ $26.87 for a profit of $1000 per contract.
Long December Gold at $1955.50. Our stop was hit @ $1979 for a profit of $2350 per contract
Long Forex Gold at $1947. Our stop was hit @ $1967,52 for a profit of $20.52 per Ounce
Long September silver at $24.40. Our stop was hit @ $25.99 for a profit of $7950 per contract
Bought GLD @ $166.74. Our stop was hit @ $$183.00 for a profit of $16.87 per share.
Bought SLV @ $18.00 Our stop was hit @ $23.80 for a profit of $5.80 per share.
NUGT – we sold all shares and took profits of $33.19 per share
Long December gold at $1997, we covered the trade @ $2035 for a profit of $3800 per contract
Long Forex gold at $1977, we covered the trade @ $2017 for a profit of $40.00 per ounce

Gold Market Forecast

The key take-away from the last couple of trading days in the precious metals are key levels of support after witnessing both gold and silver decline. For gold we are looking at $1900 per ounce is a key and critical area that must be held if gold is able to find support. For silver we are looking at the key level of support that must hold at $24 per ounce. We remain with a neutral stance waiting to see if gold and silver will hold these key levels that we talk about in today’s video report.

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