Unless oil recovers enough to be reckoned as “stable” by other elements in the investment community, there will be trouble in the equities.

This is because if oil remains low there most likely will be a special factor driving it down – weakness in the other two big economic regions beyond the U.S., namely Asia (China/Japan) and the European Union.

The Bank Of Japan’s sudden move into negative interest-rate territory seems to have taken the entire world financial realm by surprise. (We also applaud how they were able to keep it under wraps right up to the announcement.)

It certainly proved incredibly salutary for equities markets around the globe.

After rising dramatically early in the day, crude oil prices are about 4.40% higher in late afternoon trading. Allegedly the Russian energy minister said that Saudi Arabia had proposed that oil-producing countries trim output, which would be the first reasonable move to help clear a glut that has depressed prices for about eighteen months.

One would think that for equities a temporary hold on Federal Reserve rate hikes would have produced at least a neutral if not positive resonance.

Rather, equities markets chose to interpret the FOMC’s maintaining of the status quo as a statement that sketches the world economy as weakening, if not sliding toward recession. On that note, it is China that is generating those fears.

The biggest news of the day is the soaring price of gold.

More impressive is that, while some of the gain was generated by a weaker U.S. dollar, most of the advance came via regular trading. That is to say that a lot of people wanted to buy gold.

After a smoother ride late last Week, turbulence returned with a vengeance to start the week. Crude oil, the usual agent of anarchy headed the instability mob. West Texas Intermediate is down over 6.00% in later afternoon trading while Brent North Sea is nearing that size loss. Both top-shelf oils are again staring at sub-$30 per barrel pricing.

“Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water…” That was the famous advertising slogan for the classic sea behemoth mega hit, Jaws.

Slightly modified, we have to put that in the form of a question today. Is it safe to jump back into the markets?

At 3PM in New York, West Texas Intermediate is up 5% and Brent North Sea is over the moon, rallying more than 6%.

The thudding crud you hear falling to earth is crude oil. West Texas Intermediate has demolished the $27 per barrel barrier and looks set to hurtle down further. Brent North Sea is not far behind.

WTI is down 6.7% on the day, its lowest settlement since 2003. Brent, while down, is up off its earlier lows.

What are the tealeaves saying fundamentally? The huge number of signals, cross signals, coded messages, encrypted ideas and so forth make it very difficult to come to a clear understanding.