Gold

I cannot think of many organizations or people that can convey a 180° pivot by the use of a single word, except for the Federal Reserve and its chairman, Jerome Powell. When we looked at the CME’s FedWatch tool yesterday it predicted less than a 20% probability that the Federal Reserve would announce and implement a rate cut today. In fact, that is exactly what happened.

As we look at this year, besides from the rally which began in mid-August 2018 up to the former record high of this year, it is clear to see that that was possibly the only noteworthy and extended rally we have seen since 2017.

The next couple of weeks will be absolutely critical in terms of statements made by both the Federal Reserve and the presidents of the two superpowers when they meet in Osaka Japan later on this month.

While on the surface it seems that gold prices finished rather flat in trading today. The actual truth is that gold gained moderately as buyers bid the precious yellow metal higher, however extreme dollar strength dwarfed those gains. Spot or physical gold closed today at $1341.10, which is a net decline of $0.80 on the day.

Gold has once again found its footing and now for a second consecutive day has closed higher when compared to the previous close, and gains have included both a higher low as well as a higher high. As of 5:00 PM EDT gold futures basis the most active August contract are currently fixed at $1336 per ounce which is a net gain of $9.20 on the day.